
Vancouver, BC - February 24, 2025 - The German federal election on February 23, 2025, has ushered in a new political landscape with potential implications for Canadian trade, particularly regarding the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA). The Christian Democratic Union (CDU), led by Friedrich Merz, emerged as the largest party and is now poised to form a coalition government, likely with the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and possibly the Greens. This shift from the previous "traffic light" coalition (SPD, Greens, FDP) suggests a more business-friendly approach, which could bolster CETA’s promotion.
The CDU has historically supported trade agreements, and with Germany ratifying CETA in 2023, the new government is expected to actively implement and expand its benefits. This could enhance trade with Canada, opening doors for businesses in sectors such as renewable energy, technology, and manufacturing. Canada’s strategic importance may grow, especially as U.S. trade policies remain uncertain under a potential Trump administration.
Compared to the previous coalition, which faced economic stagnation and internal disagreements, a CDU-led government could prioritize stability and growth. With the SPD and Greens as coalition partners, there may also be an increased focus on sustainable business initiatives—creating opportunities for Canadian companies specializing in clean energy and innovation.
However, the rise of the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), which secured second place, presents challenges. Though excluded from the coalition, its presence as a strong opposition force could pressure trade policies toward protectionism. Still, the CDU-led coalition’s majority should ensure continued support for transatlantic trade, reinforcing Canada’s role as a key economic partner.
As policies take shape, Canadian businesses should stay informed and ready to leverage new opportunities in the evolving German market.
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